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Connectedness between US industry level credit markets and determinants

Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, Mujtaba, Ghulam ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7317-4357, Syed Ali Raza, Ali Raza, Shah, Nida and Al-Yahyaee, Khamis H. (2018) Connectedness between US industry level credit markets and determinants. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 491. pp. 874-886.

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Abstract

We examine the connectedness between US industry-level credit markets, using both Credit Default Spread (CDS) changes and volatilities, over the period from December 17, 2007, to November 13, 2015. The total, net directional and pairwise spillovers are estimated based on the generalized VAR framework developed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2012). The empirical analysis shows strong interactions for CDS spread change and volatility among all ten industries. Consumer Services and Basic Materials are the significant risk transmitters. Economic policy uncertainty and different market volatilities significantly determine credit market risk spillovers which also increase during market turbulence situations indicating a possible contagion effect. Implications of the findings are discussed.

Item Type: Article
Status: Published
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2017.09.060
School/Department: London Campus
URI: https://ray.yorksj.ac.uk/id/eprint/10052

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